Methodology

Cavport is being developed as an independent historical, quality-adjusted market-reference system based on verified arm's-length caviar transactions. During the pre-launch phase, the Public Retail Monitor uses separately labelled public-market observations and does not constitute a Cavport Verified Reference.

The methodology is versioned in two layers. Active public monitor control governs the public retail data shown today. Pre-launch verified reference control governs the future transaction-based reference. They share principles; they are not the same evidence hierarchy.

Public Retail Monitor — V1.0

Scope: public retail asking prices for caviar and roe, observed on a defined date from public retailer pages. Only exact-pack observations with a resolved net weight, price and currency enter the active EUR analytical set. "From" prices, pack-size-not-stated rows, bundles and unresolved-currency rows are excluded and reason-coded.

  • FX: ECB euro reference rates for the observation date; AED derived from its USD peg; the rate, date and derived flag are preserved with each observation.
  • Tax basis: prices are shown as displayed. Consumer prices in the EU, UK and Australia often include VAT or GST; US prices commonly exclude sales tax; shipping is excluded. This is not tax-normalized.
  • Species resolution: each observation carries a classification state (explicit species, explicit common name, inferred, marketing-descriptor-only, or species-not-stated). Low-confidence inferences do not contaminate species-specific statistics; multilingual terms are resolved locale-aware.
  • Statistics: distributions, not min/max headlines. P10, P25, median, P75 and P90 are the default language. Observed extremes are shown separately with a sensitivity warning.
  • Coverage: a transparent indicator (robust / moderate / limited / insufficient) based on observation count, seller and country breadth, and concentration. It is not a statistical certainty nor a benchmark sufficiency state.
  • Snapshots: each release has a permanent identity and is not silently overwritten; corrections are versioned with a notice.

No transaction inference is performed. The Public Retail Monitor describes observed asking prices only.

Verified Market Reference — V1.5 (pre-launch)

The verified reference uses verified historical arm's-length transactions, evidence tiers, clean-team processing, the arm's-length test, related-party treatment, product state, commercial lanes, normalization, sufficiency, suppression, model governance, corrections and auditability. Sensitive anti-gaming rules remain restricted.

Cavport's hedonic framework estimates the statistical relationship between observed transaction prices and defined product and commercial attributes, allowing quality-adjusted comparison within validated reference domains. An estimated association is not automatically treated as a causal premium or discount.

A participant-derived reference cell may publish only where the applicable sufficiency, contributor-diversity, aggregation, lag and legal-publication controls are satisfied. Cells that do not satisfy those controls are suppressed. Separately labelled research or demonstration estimates are governed independently and must never be presented as verified participant-derived references.

Under the production methodology, every Cavport Verified Reference must carry its observation window, methodology version, model version, eligibility state and integrity record, and must be reproducible from its frozen eligible observation set.

Regulatory posture

Cavport does not currently present itself as an EU-regulated financial benchmark and is not intended at launch for use in pricing financial instruments, financial contracts or investment funds. Such use is outside the standard service and triggers separate regulatory review.

Change log

Public Retail Monitor Methodology V1.0 — initial pre-launch public observation methodology. Verified Reference Methodology V1.5 — current pre-launch working methodology. Material methodology changes will not be applied retroactively without explicit restatement governance.

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Cavport publishes historical market context and public-market observations. It does not set or recommend prices, provide appraisals, determine customs value or make legal findings. Public Retail Monitor figures are based on public retail asking prices observed on a defined date and are separate from Cavport Verified References, which are pre-launch. Not a regulated financial benchmark at launch. © 2026 Cavport.